The World Bank has raised its forecast for Poland’s economic growth this year, pointing to increased investment financed by European Union resources as the main reason. The report also links stronger prospects to public-sector spending on defence and infrastructure, as well as rising consumer demand. For procurement markets, the significance is the funding channel: money under Poland’s national recovery plan is supporting investment, although the source does not identify particular contracts, competitions or award decisions.
EU funding is supporting the investment cycle
The World Bank raised Poland’s forecast for gross domestic product growth this year from 3.1% to 3.6%. Its report, published on Tuesday and cited by TVP World, attributes the improvement chiefly to higher investment financed by European Union funds. The bank says incoming EU money under Poland’s national economic recovery plan is encouraging investment. In procurement terms, this is a funding mechanism rather than a tender procedure: resources are channelled through a national plan and can support public investment activity. The source does not say which authorities are buying, which suppliers are involved or how individual contracts are being awarded.
Public spending is part of the wider forecast
The improved outlook is also explained by increased public-sector expenditure, particularly on national defence and infrastructure. That matters for businesses following public markets because investment backed by public spending can create demand for works, goods and services, even where the economic forecast does not identify specific procurements. The report places this activity alongside stronger consumer demand as a source of growth. It does not provide a breakdown of spending by project, contracting authority or sector, so the figures should be read as a national economic assessment rather than a pipeline of confirmed opportunities.
The stimulus is expected to be temporary
The World Bank cautions that the current economic stimulus will be temporary and that growth will stabilise later. It raised next year’s forecast by 0.3 percentage points to 2.9%, but cut its 2028 forecast from 2.9% to 2.7%. The report says growth will slow from 3.6% in 2026 to an average of 2.8% in 2027–2028 as distribution of funds from the EU’s Recovery and Resilience Facility comes to an end. Slower real wage growth is also expected to limit household consumption, suggesting that investment-led demand may not persist at the same level.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Poland’s growth forecast for this year | 3.6% |
| Previous forecast for this year | 3.1% |
| Next year’s growth forecast | 2.9% |
| 2028 growth forecast | 2.7% |
| Average forecast for 2027–2028 | 2.8% |
| Main investment funding source cited | European Union resources under Poland’s national recovery plan |
Incoming EU funds under Poland’s national economic recovery plan are supporting investment, the World Bank says.
WHY IT MATTERS
EU recovery funding can support public investment and, where authorities procure works, goods or services, can influence demand in supplier markets. This report signals the macroeconomic effect of that funding but does not identify specific tenders, contracting authorities or award outcomes.
Reported from 15min.lt, 2026-10-07. The Tender Wire is published by Otnox.
